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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2023-02-18T16:35Z

Model Inputs:
2023-02-17T20:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-20.0, Lat.=4.0, Speed=1487.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2023-02-17T22:08Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2023-02-19T10:15Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -23.6 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 23.0 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 4.9
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=7
(kp)135=8
(kp)180=9

Other Location(s) Impact:
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2023-02-21T00:25Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2023-02-19T03:40Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2023-02-19T09:44Z [PE: -23.2 hr]
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2023-02-20T12:45Z (Minor Impact)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230217_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2023-02-18T16:55Z by Anna Chulaki

A Notification with ID 20230218-AL-002 was sent on 2023-02-18T17:12Z
A Notification with ID 20230219-AL-001 was sent on 2023-02-19T16:54Z

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